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Global Attributes:	ncei_template_version: NCEI_NetCDF_Grid_Template_v2.0 cdm_data_type: Grid title: Vibrio vulnificus Probability in Chesapeake Bay Daily Forecast using Salinity correction summary: NOAA has developed a seasonal predictive model for the marine pathogen Vibrio vulnificus (Vv) in the Chesapeake Bay. The model is part of a heavily leveraged, multi-agency, nationwide effort to use best available science to reduce illness and economic losses resulting from healthcare expenses, the avoidance of water related recreation and the cost of responsive monitoring by states. The model uses inputs from the National Ocean Service's (NOS) Center for Operational Oceanographic Products and Services (CO-OPS) Operational Forecast Systems (OFS) and has been running in demonstration mode in an operational environment at the National Weather Service's (NWS) National Centers for Environmental Prediction's (NCEP) Ocean Prediction Center (OPC) since 2012. The Chesapeake Bay Vibrio vulnificus probablilty of occurrence model uses physical inputs from the NOS CO-OPS, CBOFS model that drive a logistic regression model. The outputs include Vibrio vulnificus daily probability of occurrence, day 2 probability of occurence, and both hourly salinity and hourly temperature averaged over the top 1 meter. The output is on the native CBOFS/ROMS model grid that covers the Chesapeake Bay and immediate continental shelf. For more information about the CBOFS model, see www.tidesandcurrents.noaa.gov/ofs/cbofs/cbofs_info.html keywords: EARTH SCIENCE > BIOLOGICAL CLASSIFICATION > BACTERIA/ARCHAEA; EARTH SCIENCE > BIOSPHERE > ECOSYSTEMS > MARINE ECOSYSTEMS > COASTAL; EARTH SCIENCE SERVICES > ENVIRONMENTAL ADVISORIES > HEALTH ADVISORIES > HUMAN HEALTH ADVISORIES; EARTH SCIENCE > BIOSPHERE > ECOSYSTEMS > MARINE ECOSYSTEMS > ESTUARY; EARTH SCIENCE SERVICES > ENVIRONMENTAL ADVISORIES > MARINE ADVISORIES > MARINE BIOLOGY keywords_vocabulary: GCMD:GCMD Keyword Version 8.5 conventions: CF-1.6, ACDD-1.3 id: /opt/archive/prod/cbofs/Vibrioprob/cbofs.t00z.20241217.vibrioprob.nc naming_authority: gov.noaa.ncdc metadata_link: doi: 10.25921/07vb-3427 history: Vibrioprob_new.f, 20241217 03:05:16 Z comments: Operational beginning April 1, 2018. The model has been running in a development mode since April 1, 2012 at NWS/NCEP/OPC. In 2015, a salinity bias correction technique was used to bring the salinity closer to observations. The NOAA Chesapeake Bay Interpretive Buoy System (CBIBS) has been used to provide a salinity target for the correction. In 2015, the model salinity was tested every 2 weeks and if the RMS difference with the CBIBS observations was > 1 psu then a new salinity correction was found and applied. In 2017, the salinity correction was automated and included in the model run with a daily check and correction if necessary using the CBIBS salinity data from the NOAA/NDBC web page. processing_level: 4 acknowledgment: Please acknowledge the use of these data with the following statement: These data were provided by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). license: No restrictions on data access or use beyond a 7 day embargo period. date_created: 2024-12-17T00:00:00Z creator_name: Dr. John Jacobs creator_email: john.jacobs@noaa.gov institution: NOAA/ NOS/ NCCOS and NOAA/ NOS/ CO-OPS project: NOAA Ecological Forecasting Roadmap Pathogen's team and Research Transition Assistance Program tier 1 project, Vibrio vulnificus Guidance Products for Chesapeake and Delaware Bays. source_file: /opt/archive/prod/cbofs/Vibrioprob/cbofs.t00z.20241217.vibrioprob.nc references: Modeling and Forecasting the Distribution of Vibrio vulnificus in Chesapeake Bay. Jacobs JM, Rhodes M, Brown CW, Hood RR, Leight A, Long W, Wood R., J Appl Microbiol. 2014 Nov;117(5):1312-27. doi: 10.1111/jam.12624. Epub 2014 Sep 26., Lanerolle, L, Daniels, R, and Jacobs, J 2015. Evaluation ofNOAA's Chesapeake Bay Vibrio vulnificus model skill. NOAA Technical Memorandum NOS NCCOS 215. NOAA National Centers for Coastal Ocean Science, Center for Coastal Environmental Health and Biomolecular Research, Cooperative Oxford Laboratory, Oxford, MD. 18 pp. operational_status: development geospatial_lat_units: degrees_north geospatial_lon_units: degrees_east geospatial_lon_resolution: 34 to 4895 meters geospatial_vertical_units: meters geospatial_lat_min: 36.1904 geospatial_lat_max: 39.6118 geospatial_lon_min: -77.3208 geospatial_lon_max: -74.8153 geospatial_bounds: POLYGON ([-77.4 36.1], [-77.4 39.7], [-74.8 39.7], [-74.8 36.1], [-77.4 36.1]) geospatial_vertical_min: 0.0 geospatial_vertical_max: 55.0 geospatial_vertical_positive: down time_coverage_start: 2024-12-16T19:00:00<Z> time_coverage_end: 2024-12-18T18:00:00<Z> time_coverage_duration: 48:00:00 time_coverage_resolution: 01:00:00 sea_name: Chesapeake Bay creator_type: Institution creator_institution: NOAA/ NOS/ NCCOS publisher_type: Institution publisher_institution: NOAA/NCEI publisher_email: ncei.info@noaa.gov program: NOAA Ecological Forecasting Roadmap contributor_name: Dr. John Jacobs; NOAA/NOS/NCCOS, Robert Daniels; IMSG @ NOAA/NWS/OPC, Dr. Aijun Zhang and Dr. Lianyuan Zheng; NOAA/NOS/CO-OPS contributor_role: NOAA/ Ecological Forecasting Roadmap Pathogen's team lead and Vibrio researcher and developer of biological model, Programming and skill assessment of Vibrio prediction model at NOAA/NWS/OPC, Programming and transitioning of Vibrio model to operations at NOS/CO-OPS date_modified: 2024-12-11T00:00:00<Z> date_issued: 2024-12-11T00:00:00<Z> date_metadata_modified: 2017-11-01T00:00:00<Z> product_version: 1.0 platform: In Situ Ocean-based Platforms > BUOYS > BUOYS, Chesapeake Bay Interpretive Buoy System platform_vocabulary: NASA/GCMD Platform Keywords. Version 8.5 instrument: In Situ/Laboratory Instruments > Profilers/Sounders > STC, Salinity, Temperature , Conductivity instrument_vocabulary: NASA/GCMD Instrument Keywords. Version 8.5 standard_name_vocabulary: CF Standard Name Table v47

Variables:	ocean_timeday1: Array of 64 bit Reals [ocean_time = 0..23] ocean_time: long_name: time since initialization standard_name: time units: seconds since 2016-01-01 00:00:00 calendar: gregorian axis: T bounds: ocean_timeday1_bounds field: time, scalar, series
	ocean_timeday1_bounds: Array of 64 bit Reals [ocean_time = 0..23][nv = 0..1] ocean_time: nv: comment: time bounds for each time value in ocean_timeday1
	zetaday1: Array of 64 bit Reals [ocean_time = 0..23][eta_rho = 0..290][xi_rho = 0..331] ocean_time: eta_rho: xi_rho: long_name: free surface standard_name: sea_surface_height_above_geoid units: meter coverage_content_type: modelResult time: ocean_time axis: Z positive: up comment: free moving water surface valid_min: -10.0 valid_max: 10.0 coordinates: ocean_timeday1 lat_rho lon_rho field: free-surface, scalar, series _FillValue: -99999.0
	temp1mday1: Array of 64 bit Reals [ocean_time = 0..23][eta_rho = 0..290][xi_rho = 0..331] ocean_time: eta_rho: xi_rho: long_name: temperature averaged over top 1 m standard_name: sea_surface_temperature units: Celsius coverage_content_type: modelResult time: ocean_time coordinates: ocean_timeday1 lat_rho lon_rho field: temperature, scalar, series valid_min: 0.0 valid_max: 50.0 _FillValue: -99999.0 cell_methods: ocean_time:mean depth:mean
	sal1mday1: Array of 64 bit Reals [ocean_time = 0..23][eta_rho = 0..290][xi_rho = 0..331] ocean_time: eta_rho: xi_rho: long_name: CBIBS corrected salinity averaged over top 1 m standard_name: sea_surface_salinity units: 1e-3 coverage_content_type: modelResult time: ocean_time coordinates: ocean_timeday1 lat_rho lon_rho field: salinity, scalar, series valid_min: 0.0 valid_max: 40.0 _FillValue: -99999.0 cell_methods: ocean_time:mean depth:mean
	probday1: Array of 64 bit Reals [ocean_time = 0..23][eta_rho = 0..290][xi_rho = 0..331] ocean_time: eta_rho: xi_rho: long_name: probability averaged over 24 hours and top 1 m units: 1 coverage_content_type: modelResult time: ocean_time coordinates: ocean_timeday1 lat_rho lon_rho field: probability, scalar, series valid_min: 0.0 valid_max: 1.0 _FillValue: -99999.0 comment: probability of occurence (0-1)
	ocean_timeday2: Array of 64 bit Reals [ocean_time = 0..23] ocean_time: long_name: time since initialization standard_name: time units: seconds since 2016-01-01 00:00:00 calendar: gregorian axis: T bounds: ocean_timeday2_bounds field: time, scalar, series
	ocean_timeday2_bounds: Array of 64 bit Reals [ocean_time = 0..23][nv = 0..1] ocean_time: nv: comment: time bounds for each time value in ocean_timeday2
	zetaday2: Array of 64 bit Reals [ocean_time = 0..23][eta_rho = 0..290][xi_rho = 0..331] ocean_time: eta_rho: xi_rho: long_name: free surface standard_name: sea_surface_height_above_geoid units: meter coverage_content_type: modelResult time: ocean_time axis: Z positive: up comment: free moving water surface coordinates: ocean_timeday2 lat_rho lon_rho field: free-surface, scalar, series valid_min: -10.0 valid_max: 10.0 _FillValue: -99999.0
	temp1mday2: Array of 64 bit Reals [ocean_time = 0..23][eta_rho = 0..290][xi_rho = 0..331] ocean_time: eta_rho: xi_rho: long_name: temperature averaged over top 1 m standard_name: sea_surface_temperature units: Celsius coverage_content_type: modelResult time: ocean_time coordinates: ocean_timeday2 lat_rho lon_rho field: temperature, scalar, series valid_min: 0.0 valid_max: 50.0 _FillValue: -99999.0 cell_methods: ocean_time:mean depth:mean
	sal1mday2: Array of 64 bit Reals [ocean_time = 0..23][eta_rho = 0..290][xi_rho = 0..331] ocean_time: eta_rho: xi_rho: long_name: CBIBS corrected salinity averaged over top 1 m standard_name: sea_surface_salinity units: 1e-3 coverage_content_type: modelResult time: ocean_time coordinates: ocean_timeday2 lat_rho lon_rho field: salinity, scalar, series valid_min: 0.0 valid_max: 40.0 _FillValue: -99999.0 cell_methods: ocean_time:mean depth:mean
	probday2: Array of 64 bit Reals [ocean_time = 0..23][eta_rho = 0..290][xi_rho = 0..331] ocean_time: eta_rho: xi_rho: long_name: Probability averaged over 24 hours and top 1 m units: 1 coverage_content_type: modelResult time: ocean_time coordinates: ocean_timeday2 lat_rho lon_rho field: probability, scalar, series valid_min: 0.0 valid_max: 1.0 _FillValue: -99999.0 comment: probability of occurence (0-1)
	lon_rho: Array of 64 bit Reals [eta_rho = 0..290][xi_rho = 0..331] eta_rho: xi_rho: long_name: Longitude degrees East standard_name: longitude units: degree_east axis: X valid_min: -77.3208 valid_max: -74.8153 comment: longitude of RHO-points from Cbofs model
	lat_rho: Array of 64 bit Reals [eta_rho = 0..290][xi_rho = 0..331] eta_rho: xi_rho: long_name: Latitude degrees North standard_name: latitude units: degree_north axis: Y valid_min: 36.1904 valid_max: 39.6118 comment: latitude of RHO-points from Cbofs model
	latestFit: Array of 64 bit Reals [three = 0..2] three: long_name: Coefficients of Latest Salinity Regression Fit comment: Coefficients of polynomial of n = 2
	newFitDate: String newFitDate long_name: Date of Latest Salinity Fit comment: Date in YYYYMMDD DODS: strlen: 8 dimName: eight
	message: String message long_name: Message about salinity fit, whether it is a new fit or previously calculated one. DODS: strlen: 80 dimName: len

For questions or comments about this dataset, contact the administrator of this server [Support] at: CO-OPS.USERSERVICES@noaa.gov

For questions or comments about the OPeNDAP service bundled with the TDS, email THREDDS support at: support-thredds@unidata.ucar.edu

DDS:

Dataset {
    Float64 ocean_timeday1[ocean_time = 24];
    Float64 ocean_timeday1_bounds[ocean_time = 24][nv = 2];
    Float64 zetaday1[ocean_time = 24][eta_rho = 291][xi_rho = 332];
    Float64 temp1mday1[ocean_time = 24][eta_rho = 291][xi_rho = 332];
    Float64 sal1mday1[ocean_time = 24][eta_rho = 291][xi_rho = 332];
    Float64 probday1[ocean_time = 24][eta_rho = 291][xi_rho = 332];
    Float64 ocean_timeday2[ocean_time = 24];
    Float64 ocean_timeday2_bounds[ocean_time = 24][nv = 2];
    Float64 zetaday2[ocean_time = 24][eta_rho = 291][xi_rho = 332];
    Float64 temp1mday2[ocean_time = 24][eta_rho = 291][xi_rho = 332];
    Float64 sal1mday2[ocean_time = 24][eta_rho = 291][xi_rho = 332];
    Float64 probday2[ocean_time = 24][eta_rho = 291][xi_rho = 332];
    Float64 lon_rho[eta_rho = 291][xi_rho = 332];
    Float64 lat_rho[eta_rho = 291][xi_rho = 332];
    Float64 latestFit[three = 3];
    String newFitDate;
    String message;
} NOAA/CBOFS/MODELS/202412/cbofs.t00z.20241217.vibrioprob.nc;

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